The power of the cellular handset is really very impressive when one considers that the device in your pocket or purse literally unifies the world.
The 3Q10 Cellular Subscription report is a PowerPoint presentation that takes an involved look at the cellular subscriber ecosystem and the factors that influence the growth or decline of a given technology.
Global cellular subscribers are covered and forecasted by region (North America, Caribbean and Latin America, Asia/Pacific, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, and Middle East and Africa) for the years 2007-2014. There is a further segmentation by airlinks: 2G subscribers (CDMA2000 grouped with CDMA One, and 2G GSM, GPRS, and EDGE/EDGE+ subscribers). 3G subscribers (CDMA2000 EV-DO Rel 0+, and WCDMA/HSPA/HSPA+) are presented for each region. Lastly, WiMAX 802.16e and LTE subscribers are forecast.
Key findings include: -GSM, GPRS, EDGE/EDGE+ subscribers expected to crest in 2012 -In-Stat has CDMA 2000 & CDMAOne subscribers expected to peak in 2012. New subscribers in China and India are being offset as North American mobile operators migrate their customers to 3G services -In the 3G world, CDMA Rel.0 platforms are likely to plateau in 2013.
The Cellular Subscription Report is sold in conjunction with the 3Q10 Cellular Contracts, Deployments, and Subscriptions Database.
2Q10 Cellular Contracts, Deployments, and Subscriptions Database
This report provides an in-depth look at cellular wireless technologies being deployed around the world. It provides summary data by bandwidth, technology, and region in pivot tables for quick analysis of trends using a combination of subscriptions, contract awards, and deployments. Furthermore, detailed data on contract awards for upcoming networks and new network deployments are provided in pivot tables for targeted views by country, service provider, and infrastructure vendor for in-depth analysis.
This report includes: - Five-year subscriptions forecasts by wireless technology and region (CDMA, GSM/EDGE, CDMA EV-DO, TD-SCDMA, WCDMA/HSPA/HSPA+, and LTE) - Contract awards and deployments by wireless technology, region, country, service provider, infrastructure vendor, date, availability, and value.
Small Cells Will Play a Very Large Part in Next-Generation Networks: Worldwide Femto, Pico, and Microcell Market Analysis
As operators start to plan and deploy their 4G networks, the way they deploy and the type of infrastructure they deploy will be quite different from what they have used for 3G. This report covers the way operators are deploying their 4G networks and looks at the small cell base stations that are making the deployment of 4G possible, including a new class of base station—the compact base station—which has the capacity of a large base station, but in the form factor of a Wi-Fi access point.
This report contains 5-year forecasts and analysis of femtocells, enterprise femtocells, indoor picocells, outdoor metropolitan picocells, and microcell base stations. A 5-year revenue forecast is also included.
1Q10 Cellular Contracts, Deployments, and Subscriptions Database
This report provides an in-depth look at cellular wireless technologies being deployed around the world. It provides summary data by bandwidth, technology, and region in pivot tables for quick analysis of trends using a combination of subscriptions, contract awards, and deployments. Furthermore, detailed data on contract awards for upcoming networks and new network deployments are provided in pivot tables for targeted views by country, service provider, and infrastructure vendor for in-depth analysis.
This report includes: -Five-year subscriptions forecasts by wireless technology and region (CDMA, GSM/EDGE, CDMA EV-DO, TD-SCDMA, WCDMA/HSPA/HSPA+, and LTE) -Contract awards and deployments by wireless technology, region, country, service provider, infrastructure vendor, date, availability, and value.
4Q09 Cellular Contracts, Deployments, and Subscriptions Database
This report provides an in-depth look at cellular wireless technologies being deployed around the world. It provides summary data by bandwidth, technology, and region in pivot tables for quick analysis of trends using a combination of subscriptions, contract awards, and deployments. Furthermore, detailed data on contract awards for upcoming networks and new network deployments are provided in pivot tables for targeted views by country, service provider, and infrastructure vendor for in-depth analysis.
This report includes: -Five-year subscriptions forecasts by wireless technology and region (CDMA, GSM/EDGE, CDMA EV-DO, TD-SCDMA, WCDMA/HSPA/HSPA+, and LTE) -Contract awards and deployments by wireless technology, region, country, service provider, infrastructure vendor, date, availability, and value.
The worldwide wireless market continues to grow, despite a worldwide economic slowdown, and with more and more voice subscribers, wireless operators are desperately trying to increase their profits by providing high-speed wireless data services. While voice Average Revenue per User (ARPU) has been steadily decreasing, data ARPU has been on the rise. Selling data services has been very good for operators, but with it comes the need for many more base stations.
This base station forecast contains a forecast for both new and deployed macro cellular base stations. Forecasts are broken out for the following technologies: LTE, WCDMA (including HSPA), CDMA2000 1X RTT & CDMAOne, CDMA2000 1X EV-DO, GSM (including GPRS & EDGE), and TD-SCDMA. Each forecast is also broken out by region. The following regions are included: North America, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Africa & Middle East, Asia/Pacific and Latin, South America & Caribbean.
3Q09 Cellular Contracts, Deployments, and Subscriptions Database
This report provides an in-depth look at cellular wireless technologies being deployed around the world. It provides summary data by bandwidth, technology, and region in pivot-tables for quick analysis of trends using a combination of subscriptions, contract awards, and deployments. Furthermore, detailed data on contract awards for upcoming networks and new network deployments are provided in pivot-tables for targeted views by country, service provider, and infrastructure vendor for in-depth analysis.
This report includes: -Five-year subscriptions forecasts by wireless technology and region (CDMA, GSM/EDGE, CDMA EV-DO, TD-SCDMA, WCDMA/HSPA/HSPA+, and LTE) -Contract awards and deployments by wireless technology, region, country, service provider, infrastructure vendor, date, availability, and value.
Green Base Stations: Renewable Energy Becomes a Reality in Cellular Infrastructure
In just the last few years, the number of worldwide cellular base stations has grown from numbering in the hundred thousands to the many millions, and with this explosion in base station numbers has come with it the fear for all the greenhouse gases and pollution that powering a cellular network creates.
This report cover these two important aspects of green base stations, 1) powering base stations with solar and wind where reliable power doesn't exist and 2) reducing the energy demands of all cellular infrastructure. Five-year forecasts in this report include the number of on-grid base stations in developing regions, the number of off-grid/unreliable-grid base stations in these areas, and the number of solar, wind, and solar/wind combo base stations in these areas. Forecasts are broken out for three regions: Africa, South Asia, and Latin/South America & Caribbean.
Worldwide Five-Year Cellular Macro Station Forecast
The worldwide wireless market continues to grow, despite a worldwide economic slowdown, and with more and more voice subscribers, wireless operators are also desperately trying to increase their profits by providing high-speed wireless data services. While voice Average Revenue per User (ARPU) has been steadily decreasing, data ARPU has been on the rise. Selling data services has been very good for operators, but with it comes the need for many more base stations.
This base station forecast contains a forecast for both new and deployed macro cellular base stations. Forecasts are broken out for the following technologies: LTE, WCDMA (including HSPA), CDMA2000 1X RTT & CDMAOne, CDMA2000 1X EV-DO, GSM (including GPRS & EDGE), and TD-SCDMA. Each forecast is also broken out by region. The following regions are included: North America, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Africa & Middle East, Asia/Pacific and Latin, South America & Caribbean.
2Q09 Cellular Contract, Deployment, and Subscriptions Database
This report provides an in-depth look at cellular wireless technologies being deployed around the world. It provides summary data by bandwidth, technology, and region in pivot-tables for quick analysis of trends using a combination of subscriptions, contract awards, and deployments. Furthermore, detailed data on contract awards for upcoming networks and new network deployments are provided in pivot-tables for targeted views by country, service provider, and infrastructure vendor for in-depth analysis.
This report includes: -Five-year subscriptions forecasts by wireless technology and region (CDMA, GSM/EDGE, CDMA EV-DO, TD-SCDMA, WCDMA/HSPA/HSPA+, and LTE) -Contract awards and deployments by wireless technology, region, country, service provider, infrastructure vendor, date, availability, and value.
Big Pipes—The Global Market for Cellular/WiMAX Backhaul
Cellular backhaul provides that crucial link between the mobile operator’s radio access network and its core network. The importance of the backhaul has gotten renewed attention as operators plan for a more data intensive network. The old voice-based solutions will not work with data-centric networks. This problem was well publicized when Sprint blamed delays in its Baltimore WiMAX network on getting backhaul with adequate bandwidth. This report looks at the cellular and WiMAX backhaul market.
This report includes the following:
-Brief overviews of key market vendors, including their strengths and weaknesses. -Overview of key market activities. -Five-year forecasts for cellular backhaul last mile capacity. -Capacity forecast at the air interface level—GSM, CDMA, HSPA, and LTE. -Five-year capacity forecasts for TDM and Ethernet in the cellular backhaul last mile. -Five-year capacity forecasts for copper/fiber and microwave in the cellular backhaul last mile. -All cellular forecasts broken out into six regions—North America, Asia/Pacific, Latin & South America/Caribbean, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, and Middle East/Africa. -Five-year capacity forecast for the WiMAX backhaul last mile.
A Cell of Your Own—Worldwide Micro, Pico, and Femtocell Market Analysis
One of the biggest challenges facing wireless subscribers is a lack of indoor coverage, while the biggest challenge for wireless operators is keeping their network costs low. Microcells, picocells, and femtocells address these challenges in a much more cost effective manner. By providing smaller and less powerful base stations in smaller areas, like public spaces, offices, and even homes, operators can provide better coverage in more specific areas without the huge capital investment.
This report provides an in-depth view of the femtocell, enterprise femtocell, picocell, microcell, and WiMAX smaller cell markets, and includes 5-year forecasts for units, revenue, and semiconductor revenue for each segment. In addition, 5-year regional unit forecasts are included.
Worldwide Cellular Subscription and Handset 5-Year Forecast
It should be no surprise to anyone that the US, as well as the world, is experiencing one of the largest economic slowdowns of modern times. Unemployment is growing, and consumer spending is drying up. But what is ahead in terms of the number of cellular subscribers and shipments of cellular handsets? This report aims to answer that question by providing complete forecasts of both cellular handset subscriptions and handset shipments, including a forecast out to 2013. Forecasts are broken down by region and technology.
The Cellular Infrastructure Award report summarizes cellular infrastructure awards announced in 2008. By monitoring these awards over time, one can get a great appreciation of the trend in the cellular infrastructure business, and where things are headed. This report contains:
-Cellular infrastructure contract awards sorted by date -Cellular infrastructure contract awards sorted by equipment provider -Cellular infrastructure contract awards sorted by technology -Cellular infrastructure contract awards sorted by region -Cellular infrastructure contract awards by month and quarter going back to January 2001
A Tough Road Ahead for Base Station Components— Worldwide Semiconductor Forecast
This report is required reading for anyone tracking the state of the cellular base station market and its associated markets in base station semiconductors. Included in this report are the three top forecasts for monitoring the base station equipment and base station semiconductor markets: new base stations, new base station revenue, and new base station semiconductor revenue. All three of these forecasts are broken-out by technology and region.
While research reports of competitor companies contain forecasts of sectors shipped, or base stations worldwide, this report digs deeper to give a clearer view on the market by expanding on the technology breakdown and regional makeup of base station shipments.
Going forward, this will be a tough time for those producing base station equipment and semiconductors, and the weaker companies, or those poorly positioned, will not likely survive. Not only are we facing an economic slowdown the likes of which have not been seen in 25 years, but also infrastructure manufacturers are just coming off an unusual infrastructure growth spurt, with operators around the world spending billions on new 3G equipment. Unfortunately, that growth couldn’t go on forever, and there is nothing like a good recession to get operators to rethink their spending plans.
Dynamics of the Femtocell Market and Business Proposition
Cellular femtocells were the most hyped device talked about by wireless operators and manufacturers in 2008, but just how much represents real potential and how much is pure hype? This analyst PowerPoint presentation takes a deep look at the potential and challenges facing femtocells in the US market. Why do operators want them? Why do consumers want them and why would they not want them? In addition, this presentation includes survey results on the benefits of femtocells conducted in the US in June of 2008, and a worldwide femtocell forecast to 2012.
Cellular infrastructure contract awards in the third quarter of 2008 were weak. After a strong 1Q and a weaker 2Q, contract awards for the third quarter are the lowest they have been since 4Q07, and 4Q of this year isn't expected to be much better.
This report contains all publicly available cellular infrastructure contract awards for the third quarter of 2008. Awards are listed by date, equipment vendor, technology, and region, and the report also contains historical award totals dating back to 2001.
The Road to 4G: LTE and WiMAX Lead the Way Worldwide
4G technologies are formally those that will meet the ITU's IMT-Advanced requirements. The two technologies that are expected to meet these requirements include LTE Advanced and 802.16m WiMAX. 4G technologies are extensions of what we are just beginning to see today in mobile WiMAX and in LTE.
With 802.16e WiMAX deployments already launched worldwide, LTE proponents have jumped up their efforts to speed up development, so they are not left behind. Overall, In-Stat expects that mobile WiMAX will ultimately outpace LTE over the forecast period, due to timing of network roll-outs. Mobile WiMAX effectively came on the scene in 2006 with South Korea's WiBro. Comparatively, the earliest commercial LTE deployment will be 2009. Japan's NTT DoCoMo is expected to begin its commercial services in the late 2009/2010 timeframe.
In-Stat expects that mobile WiMAX and LTE subscriptions will represent only a miniscule portion of the total 2G/3G/4G subscriptions over the next five years. Even in 2013, In-Stat expects that GSM/GPRS/EDGE will account for nearly 2.8 billion subscriptions, representing more than 55 percent of the total 4.8 billion 2G/3G/4G subscriptions expected in 2013.
Worldwide Cellular Base Station Forecast Driven by Data
This comprehensive worldwide cellular base station forecast is the only report available that contains a proven forecast for both new and deployed macro cellular base stations by region and by air link through 2012. The forecast methodology, unique in the industry, is achieved through an exhaustive formula developed by In-Stat that is based on worldwide usage, capacity, subscribers and demand. Forecasts are broken out by region for the following technologies: LTE, HSUPA, HSDPA, WCDMA, CDMA2000 1X RTT & CDMAOne, CDMA2000 1X EV-DO, EDGE, GPRS, GSM, and TD-SCDMA. The report also incorporates manufacturing profiles and overall marketplace trends, such femtocells and TC-SCDMA.
The second quarter of 2008 did not turn out to be a bad one for cellular contract awards. In 2Q08, infrastructure contact awards with reported values totaled almost $3 billion dollars, which compares with $2.6 billon dollars last quarter, and $3.6 billon for 2Q last year. Looking back at 2006 and 2005, their second quarter contract awards only totaled $876 million and $1.2 billion respectively.
This year, semiconductor content in cellular and WiMAX infrastructure radio devices will total approximately $17 billion dollars, with currently most of the semiconductors being used in macro base stations for cellular, but that will change. WiMAX and cellular broadband technologies like WCDMA are being deployed at increasingly high frequencies due to availability, and the use of these higher frequencies is making it more difficult for operators to provide adequate indoor coverage for their subscribers. Furthermore, 3G technologies and WiMAX require a strong signal level to provide the fastest data speeds and that also is difficult for operators to achieve.
This report contains the semiconductor content forecasts for femtocells, enterprise picocells, picocells, microcells, macrocells, and mobile WiMAX base stations from the present through 2012. In addition to semiconductor revenues, this report also contains the unit forecasts for cellular base stations and the sector forecast for mobile WiMAX base stations.
Worldwide Cellular Subscriptions and 5-Year Forecast
Cellular subscriptions (contracts, not individuals) continue to grow at a fast rate, but that rate is beginning to slow worldwide. Still some regions and countries are bucking the trend. In addition to subscription growth, the mix of technologies used in each region is rapidly changing. For example, in Western Europe, the number of new subscribers using WCDMA and HSPA technology is quite impressive.
Subscriptions are being fueled by incredible growth in India, China, and Africa, but the growth in developed countries is definitely leveling out. When the world is viewed as a whole, the growth in developing areas is what stands out as driving the worldwide total. When all is taken together, the number of subscriptions in 2007 grew by 667.6 million over 2006, but 2008 is forecast to only grow by 382.5 million over 2007. Some of the slowing is caused by saturation in some areas, but another aspect is the relatively sluggish world economy. By 2012, the yearly growth in subscribers is expected to decrease to only 163 million per year, roughly twice the population increase projected in that year.
This report contains cellular subscription numbers by region and technology for 2006 and 2007, and contains forecast information through 2012.
Cellular infrastructure contract awards in the first quarter of 2008 were very strong overall—in fact the strongest they have been in a first quarter for 7 years. As for manufacturers, Alcatel-Lucent, Nokia-Siemens, and Ericsson all had a good first quarter, while some of the other manufacturers floundered. This report contains a summation of all reported cellular infrastructure contract awards for 1Q08. Awards are listed by manufacturer, country, technology, and award amount. In addition, a summary of award totals for the last seven years are included. Companies that are mentioned in this report include Alcatel-Lucent, Ericsson, Huawei, Motorola, Nokia-Siemens, and ZTE.
The Itty-Bitty Base Station Revolution—Worldwide Micro, Pico, and Femtocell Market Analysis
One of the biggest challenges facing wireless subscribers is a lack of indoor coverage. The timing of 3G service rollouts is making this problem more relevant, as carriers realize that 3G services will have limited success without addressing the indoor coverage issue. The cost to address these shortcomings with traditional macro base station solutions is too high and not possible for most mobile operators. Microcells, picocells, and femtocells address these challenges in a much more cost-effective manner. By providing smaller and less powerful base stations in smaller areas, like public spaces, offices, and even homes, carriers can provide better coverage in more specific areas without a huge capital investment.
Furthermore, microcells, picocells, and femtocells can help carriers reduce churn as they are providing better coverage to their existing customers. These products are also opening the door to other niche market opportunities—areas currently not served by cellular service, such as on airplanes and cruise ships.
This report looks at the key market players for microcells, picocells, and femtocells and the business case affecting demand. Also included is a five-year forecast for these segments, including regional forecasts.
Directions '08—2007 Worldwide Infrastructure Contract Award Summary
Cellular infrastructure contract awards in 2007 were very strong overall—one of the strongest years in the last five, although much of 2007 was driven by 2G rather than 3G. The US, China, and India were, not surprisingly, the countries with the most contract awards in 2007. As for manufacturers, Alcatel-Lucent and Ericsson both had a strong 2007, while some of the other manufacturers floundered.
This report contains a summation of all reported cellular infrastructure contract awards for 2007. Awards are listed by manufacturer, country, technology, and award amount. In addition, a summary of award totals for the last four years are included. Companies that are mentioned in this report include Alcatel-Lucent, Ericsson, Huawei, LG, Motorola, Nokia-Siemens, Nortel, Samsung, Telcore, and ZTE.
Complement or Threat—WiMAX Strategies for Mobile Operators
Since the inception of WiMAX, mobile operators have wondered what it means for their existing mobile broadband services. This report looks at how 802.16e fits into the world of mobile operators. This report:
1. Discusses the impact of IMT-2000 acceptance of 802.16e as a 3G technology 2. Examines three mobile operators' strategies for WiMAX 3. Provides device forecasts for both 802.16e and 3G 4. Shows where 802.16e complements and threatens 3G
