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AdvancedTCA Accelerates Merchant Switch Fabrics

Service: Networking Technology
Report Number: IN0401180NT
Publication Date: October 2004
Number of Pages: 72
Report Price: $3,995 U.S. Dollars
Analyst: Eric Mantion

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Abstract
A Merchant Switch Fabric (MSF) is an ASSP that can be used to distribute and/ or direct any type of traffic from one port to any other port. Since it can handle any type of traffic, this makes it different than the GigE Switch Chips (GESCs) that have become so popular over the last few years. While GESCs can be used in GigE switches, once you add the myriad of other types of traffic the carriers need to handle, the plan goes right out the window. For the last decade or so, just about every major Network Equipment Provider (NEP) had been making its own internal fabric. Now, thanks to reduced R&D budgets, better SerDes technology and the very flexible AdvancedTCA platform, we expect to see MSFs finally come into their own. While they won’t spread to as many markets as once hoped, they will still grab over a million ports by 2008 and climb nicely in revenues over the next several years, from $47 million in 2003.
 
 This report includes forecasts by market segment of:
 - TAM for ASIC and Merchant switch fabrics
 - Standardized Backplane Interconnects (SBIs)
 - SAM for just the MSFs
 - Revenues for MSFs
 
 Plus projections of:
 - Average Sales Price (ASP) per port for MSFs
 - TAM for ASIC and Merchant switch fabrics by fabric capacity
 
 A detailed technical overview (including a special section on the AdvancedTCA), market overview, vendor profiles, and a market share analysis of the 2003 MSF revenues is also included.
 

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary
  • Methodology
  • Introduction
  • Technical Overview
    • SONET Technology Review
    • A Brief History of …
    • The First Generation of Switching Chips…
      • Crossbar Switches
    • Protocol-Dependent Switches…
      • Shared Memory ATM Switches
    • The Hybrid Approach
    • Standardized Chassis
      • CompactPCI
        • CompactPCI Packet Switching Backplane
        • CompactPCI Serial Mesh Backplane
      • AdvancedTCA
        • Backplane Options
        • Modularity for Networking Boards
      • CompactTCA
    • Which Chassis Will Win?
    • MSFs as Part of the Puzzle…
    • Future Trends
      • Increased Queues & Memory
      • More Intelligence
      • Higher Speed SerDes
      • Standardized Backplane Links
      • Higher Densities
  • Market Overview
    • The Worst is Over - For a While
    • Pros & Cons to MSFs
      • Cons
      • Pros
    • The Infrastructure Revolution
      • The Shortcomings of Using SONET Rings to Carry Data
      • The Answer
  • Forecast
    • Forecast Methodology
    • Market Shares for MSF Market
    • Total Available Market (TAM)
    • Standardized Back Planes
      • Shipments
    • Merchant Switch Fabric Market
      • Shipments
      • Average Sale Prices (ASPs)
      • Revenues
  • Vendor Profiles
    • Companies not Profiled:
      • Erlang Technology
      • Dune Networks
      • Marvell
      • Paion
      • Sandburst
      • StarGen
      • Tau Networks
      • TranSwitch
    • Vendor Comparisons
    • Agere
    • Applied Micro Circuits Corporation (AMCC)
    • Broadcom
    • IDT
    • Mindspeed
    • TeraChip Inc.
    • Vitesse
  • Conclusion
  • Appendix A: Glossary
  • Appendix A: Glossary (con't)
  • Appendix A: Glossary (con't)

List of Tables

  • Table 1. Summary of Forecast for the Merchant Switch Fabric Market (2003 - 2008) ($M)
  • Table 2. Summary of Forecast for the Merchant Switch Fabric Market (2003 - 2008)
  • Table 3. Speeds of the SONET and SDH Hierarchy
  • Table 4. A Comparison of the Key Dimensions for PICMG 3.0 versus 2.0
  • Table 5. Aggregate Backplane Capacities for a Full Mesh AdvancedTCA Backplane
  • Table 6. Aggregate Backplane Capacities for a Dual Star AdvancedTCA Backplane
  • Table 7. Standardized Chassis Revenue Forecast, 2004 - 2008 ($M)
  • Table 8. Future Capacities for the AdvancedTCA Due to SerDes Improvements
  • Table 9. Economic Analysis of NEPs Using an ASIC-based 640 Gbps Switch Fabric
  • Table 10. Economic Analysis of NEPs Using an MSF-based 640 Gbps Switch Fabric
  • Table 11. Comparison of Data Type Versus Infrastructure Needs
  • Table 12. Order of Magnitude Yearly Revenue Potentials from Data Through an MSPP
  • Table 13. Hourly Full-Duplex Data Consumption Rates for Popular Online Activities
  • Table 14. TAM for All Types of Switch Fabrics, Worldwide, 2003 - 2008 (in 10 Gbps Ports)
  • Table 15. Shipment Forecast of Standardized Backplane Interconnects, by Segment, 2003 to 2008 (in 10 Gbps Ports)
  • Table 16. Shipment Forecast of Worldwide MSF Market, by Segment, 2003 - 2008 (in 10 Gbps Ports)
  • Table 17. Forecast of Worldwide MSF Market by Aggregated Throughput, 2003 - 2008 (in 10 Gbps Ports)
  • Table 18. Forecast for Worldwide MSF ASPs, 2003 - 2008 (US$ per 10 Gbps Port)
  • Table 19. Revenue Forecast of Worldwide MSF Market, 2003-2008 (US$ in Thousands)
  • Table 20. Comparison of the Lead MSFs

List of Figures

  • Figure 1. The Fundamental Components of an SPE
  • Figure 2. The Addition of a New ADM to a Typical MAN
  • Figure 3. Simplified Diagram of the Crossbar Switch Concept
  • Figure 4. Cell Format for ATM Cells
  • Figure 5. Simplified Diagram of the Shared-Memory Switch Concept
  • Figure 6. Simplified Diagram of the Hybrid Switch Concept
  • Figure 7. Logical Depiction of the CompactPCI Packet Switch Backplane (PICMG 2.16)
  • Figure 8. Logical Depiction of the CompactPCI Serial Mesh Backplane (PICMG 2.20)
  • Figure 9. A Pictorial Comparison of the Key Differences between PICMG 3.0 and 2.0
  • Figure 10. Isometric Drawing of the AdvancedTCA (PICMG 3.0) with Key Dimensions
  • Figure 11. Logical Depiction of GigE Mesh Backplane for the AdvancedTCA
  • Figure 12. Logical Depiction of a Dual Star Switch Backplane for the AdvancedTCA
  • Figure 13. Physical and Logical Layout of a Backplane Connector for the AdvancedTCA
  • Figure 14. All of Zone 2 Connectors for the AdvancedTCA Backplane
  • Figure 15. An Example of Modularity in AdvancedTCA-Based Designs
  • Figure 16. Nominal Diagram of a Network Processing Board
  • Figure 17. Amalgamation of Queue Managers and Fabric Interfaces into Traffic Mangers
  • Figure 18. Why Harmonics of 10 Gbps will be the Speed of Choice to Connect Line Cards
  • Figure 19. Desktop Computer Market Shares in 1980 before the Shift to Standard Products
  • Figure 20. An MSF-Based MSPP handling Multiple Protocols
  • Figure 21. The Use of MSF-based MSPPs to Improve Carrier's Networks
  • Figure 22. Market Shares for Worldwide Merchant Fabric Revenue Market in 2003
  • Figure 23. How Standardized Interconnects Could Combine Computing with Networking
  • Figure 24. Use of the PI-40 MSF as the Basis for a MSPP

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In-Stat (www.in-stat.com) is the leading provider of actionable market research, assessments and market forecasts of semiconductors and advanced communications equipment and services. Our market forecasts, market analysis, and market insights are derived from both a deep technology understanding and a unique research methodology, which examines each segment of the value chain for each market. Technology vendors, service providers, technology professionals and market specialists, worldwide, rely on In-Stat’s tenured, experienced staff and in-depth research to support critical technology, product and success decisions. Copyright © 2005 In-Stat
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