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WiMAX: The Rebel Broadband

Service: Service Provider Networks
Report Number: IN0401183WN
Publication Date: December 2004
Number of Pages: 51
Report Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
Analyst: Eric Mantion

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Abstract
Just because WiMAX has been the center of a lot of attention lately does not mean that it is all hype and no substance. In fact, quite the opposite is true. Currently, there is a large number of companies actively promoting WiMAX, with nearly 200 in its WiMAX forum. It also has opportunities before it to not only be a potentially cheaper way of providing broadband – both in the US and abroad – but it also can be used as a means to provide backhaul for cellular BTSs, as well as, eventually, providing an alternative to the high cost of using a mobile phone.
 
 However, there are still a reasonable amount of unknowns involved with WiMAX, so, in this report, we provide three different scenarios for how WiMAX will be used in the US and a detailed forecast for each perspective.
 
  - Local WISPs adopting WiMAX to be more cost effective
  - National companies rollout combined WiMAX + VoIP services
  - National companies offer combined WiMAX + VoIP + Satellite TV services
 
 Taking to the most likely scenario, the second of the above, we also provide a worldwide forecast for WiMAX market, including its use as a backhaul technology.
 
 This WiMAX report also provides a detailed technical backgrounder and an expansive market overview so that the reader is fully versed in all the pertinent aspects of WiMAX.

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary
  • Methodology
  • Introduction
  • WiMAX Technical Overview
    • Modulation Technology
      • CDMA, Code Division Multiple Access
      • DSSS, Direct Sequence Spread Spectrum
      • FDMA, Frequency Division Multiple Access
      • FHSS, Frequency Hopping Spread Spectrum
      • TDMA, Time Division Multiple Access
      • OFDM, Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing
      • W-OFDM, Wideband-OFDM
      • OFDMA, Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access
    • Wireless Standards
      • IEEE 802.11 Standards
        • IEE 802.11b
        • IEE 802.11a
        • IEE 802.11g
      • IEEE 802.11 Task Groups
        • Task Group E (TGe)
        • Task Group H (TGh)
        • Task Group I (TGi)
        • Task Group J (TGj)
        • Task Group N (TGn)
        • Task Group R (TGr)
        • Task Group S (TGs)
        • Task Group T (TGt)
      • IEEE 802.16
        • IEEE 802.16a
        • IEEE Std 802.16/Conformance03-2004
        • IEEE 802.16e
        • IEEE 802.16f
        • IEEE 802.16g
      • IEEE 802.20
    • License Exempt vs. Licensed Spectrum
      • Licensed Spectrum
      • License-Exempt
    • Network Topology
      • Point-to-Multipoint
      • Point-to-Point
    • Mesh Networks
  • WiMAX Market Overview
    • WiMAX Applications
      • Cellular Backhaul
      • Clustered Wi-Fi Hotspot Backhaul
      • Last-Mile Broadband
      • Cell phone Replacements
      • Other Applications
        • Automatic Teller Machines (ATMs)
        • Vehicular Data and Voice
        • Security Applications
        • First Responders
    • WiMAX Forum
    • WiMAX Market Drivers
      • Emergence of WiMAX Standards
      • Backing of Intel
      • Breaking the Duopoly
      • Foreign Investors
      • Municipal Endeavors
      • Homeland Security
    • WiMAX Market Challenges
      • Interference
      • Scale
    • Government Regulations
      • United States
      • Worldwide
    • National WiMAX Rollout Model
  • WiMAX Forecasts
    • CPE Scenario 1
    • CPE Scenario 2
    • CPE Scenario 3
    • WiMAX BTSs
    • Point-to-Point Equipment
    • Worldwide WiMAX Forecast

List of Tables

  • Table 1. 802.11 Standards
  • Table 2. WLAN Technology Matrix - Past and Present
  • Table 3. IEEE 802.11 Major Task Groups and Study Groups
  • Table 4. 802.16 Wireless MAN Standards
  • Table 5. Relationship Between 802.16e, 802.20, and 3G - Part 1
  • Table 6. Relationship Between 802.16e, 802.20, and 3G - Part 2
  • Table 7. License-Exempt Spectrum for Fixed wireless broadband
  • Table 8. Triple, Quadruple, and Quintuple Play Savings Comparisons Versus Dial-up
  • Table 9. Triple, Quadruple, and Quintuple Play Savings Comparisons Versus Broadband
  • Table 10. Possible Government Funded Projects for WiMAX
  • Table 11. Initial Costs for a National Rollout of WiMAX
  • Table 12. Final Costs for a National Rollout of WiMAX
  • Table 13. Revenue Opportunity WiMAX Plays by Penetration Rate ($M)
  • Table 14. US Scenario 1 WiMAX CPE Forecast, 2004 - 2008
  • Table 15. US Scenario 2 WiMAX CPE Forecast, 2004 - 2008
  • Table 16. US Scenario 3 WiMAX CPE Forecast, 2004 - 2008
  • Table 17. US Scenario 1 WiMAX BTS Forecast, 2004 - 2008
  • Table 18. US Scenario 2 WiMAX BTS Forecast, 2004 - 2008
  • Table 19. US Scenario 3 WiMAX BTS Forecast, 2004 - 2008
  • Table 20. WW Point-to-Point Forecast, 2004 - 2008
  • Table 21. WW BTS, PtP, and CPE Forecast, 2004 - 2008

List of Figures

  • Figure 1. WW Forecast of CPE, BTS, and PtP Revenues and Shipments, 2004 - 2008
  • Figure 2. MDS and MMDS Band Allocation
  • Figure 3. LMDS Band Allocation
  • Figure 4. Sample Point-to-Multipoint Configuration
  • Figure 5. Sample Point-to-Point Configuration
  • Figure 6. 3-Ring Deployment of WiMAX BTSs with Minimal PtP Link Usage
  • Figure 7. 3-Ring Deployment of WiMAX BTSs with More PtP Links for Better Reliability
  • Figure 8. Multiple Clusters of 6-Way PtP Links Shows Maximum Flexibility
  • Figure 9. Speed of CPU Trend Against Internet Connection Method
  • Figure 10. US Scenario 1 CPE Forecast, 2004 - 2008
  • Figure 11. US Scenario 2 CPE Forecast, 2004 - 2008
  • Figure 12. US Scenario 3 CPE Forecast, 2004 - 2008

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In-Stat (www.in-stat.com) is the leading provider of actionable market research, assessments and market forecasts of semiconductors and advanced communications equipment and services. Our market forecasts, market analysis, and market insights are derived from both a deep technology understanding and a unique research methodology, which examines each segment of the value chain for each market. Technology vendors, service providers, technology professionals and market specialists, worldwide, rely on In-Stat’s tenured, experienced staff and in-depth research to support critical technology, product and success decisions. Copyright © 2005 In-Stat
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