Digital Domicile 2004: Home Networking Hits the Big Time

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Report Abstract, Table of Contents, Tables, Figures

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Digital Domicile 2004: Home Networking Hits the Big Time

Service: Residential Connectivity
Report Number: IN0401227RC
Publication Date: April 2004
Number of Pages: 89
Report Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
Analyst: Michael Wolf

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Abstract
Home networking entered the mainstream in 2003 and early 2004. Large numbers of broadband users have installed home networks to share their Internet connections, while entertainment networking has become the most active area of new product development. Vendors announced, and in many cases actually released, media networking products to connect entertainment devices to networks in order to share audio and video content around the home.

Home networking revenue derived directly from home networking hardware and the incremental value of networking connectivity on entertainment equipment will grow from $6.2 million in 2004 to $8.5 million by 2008. The total value of equipment that incorporates a home networking connection will jump from $8.3 billion in 2004 to $17.1 billion by 2008.

This report contains extensive analysis using consumer survey data, vendor profiles, and detailed forecasting. In each market segment we examine the key players, including ingredient technology vendors. Forecasts are broken down by product segment, as well as LAN interface.

Included are market shares for home routers, residential gateways, media adapters, networked cameras, home network central storage, wireless LAN, HomePlug and HomePNA. Also included are detailed forecasts of home routers, residential gateways, media networking, LAN Interfaces (WLAN, Ethernet, HomePlug, HomePNA, Coax/MoCA, 1394), worldwide and regional home networks and home media networks.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary
Methodology
Introduction
Home Network Device Category Overview and Update
- Home Routers
  - Trends in the Home Router Market
    - Rapidly Dropping ASPs: Harbinger of Market Consolidation?
    - Wireless Most Popular LAN Technology
    - Residential Gateways Will Begin to Impact Volumes
- Residential Gateways
  - Where Have All the Gateway Vendors Gone?
  - What Form Will Residential Gateway Take?
  - Is the Gateway Synonymous With The Home Server?
  - Who are The Market Leaders in The Residential Gateway Space?
- Media Networking
  - What is Media Networking?
    - Media Clients
    - Media Centers/Servers
  - Who Are Key Players In Media Networking?
  - A New Media Networking Category?: Akimbo Broadband Set-Top Boxes
  - What About The Microsoft Media Center Extender and Media Connect?
- Network Storage in the Home
  - The Benefits of Network Storage
  - The Hurdles for Network Storage
  - How Network Storage May Evolve in Home
    - NAS
    - Networked Hard Drive
    - Personal Server
    - Media Router
  - Who Are the Key Consumer Network Storage Players?
  - What is the Future of Network Storage in the Home?
  - Network Cameras
- Network Camera Prices: Way Too High for Joe Consumer, But On Their Way Down
  - Network Camera Channels: Need To Expand Beyond Specialty Markets
  - Network Camera Interfaces: WLAN a Key Enabler

Who Are Key Players in Consumer Network Camera Market?
What is the Future of Network Cameras in the Home?

Home LAN Connectivity Overview and Update
- Wireless LAN
  - Standards and Technology Update
    - UWB
  - What 802.11 Technology is Going to Predominate in the Home in the Near Term?
  - Which Wireless Technology Will Win Long Term in the Home?
  - Will MIMO Change WLAN in the Home?
    - MIMO and QoS: The Secret Sauce for Whole Home Wireless?
  - Who Are Key Players in Home WLAN Market?
- HomePlug
  - Standards and Technology Update
  - Will HomePlug AV Save Powerline Networking?
  - Who Are The Major Players in Powerline Networking?
- HomePNA
  - Standards and Technology Update
  - Is HomePNA 3.0 Too Little, Too Late?
  - Who Are Major Players in HomePNA?
- 1394
  - Standards and Technology Update
    - 1394a
    - 1394b
    - 1394c
    - Wireless 1394
- Coax
  - Standards and Technology Update
  - How Does Coax Compare to Other No-New-Wires Technology?
Home Networking Standards
- Digital Home Working Group
- Universal Plug and Play
Home Network User Insights
- Comparisons of Past and Current Home Network Users
- What ARE They Using Home Networks For?
Home Networking Market Forecasts
Vendor Tables

List of Tables

Table 1. Home Router Market Shares
Table 2. Residential Gateway Vendor Strikeouts
Table 3. 2003 Residential Gateway Market Shares
Table 4. Media Clients
Table 5. Potential Media Servers
Table 6. Media Adapter 2003 Market Shares
Table 7. Consumer Network Storage Market Shares
Table 8. 2003 Consumer Network Camera Market Shares
Table 9. 802.11 Technologies Overview
Table 10. 802.11b Total Home Market Shares (Units in Thousands)
Table 11. 802.11g Total Market for 2003 (Units in Thousands)
Table 12. HomePlug Connection Market Shares
Table 13. HomePNA Connection Market Share
Table 14. Worldwide Home-Network Forecast - 2002-2008 (In Thousands)
Table 15. Worldwide Home Networks by Technology (In Thousands)
Table 16. Total Home Network Device Forecast by Type (Units in Thousands)
Table 17. Home Networking Interface Revenue Forecast (US$ in Thousands)
Table 18. Home-Networking Total Device-Level Revenue Forecast (US$ in Thousands)
Table 19. Home Networking LAN Interface Forecast (Units in Thousands)
Table 20. Media-Network Forecast 2003-2008 (000s)
Table 21. Home Networking Infrastructure Vendors
Table 22. Selected Media-Networking Vendors and Products
Table 23. Media-Networking Software Vendors
Table 24. Broadband CPE Vendors Part I
Table 25. Broadband CPE Vendors Part II

List of Figures

Figure 1. Home Network Interface and Total Device Revenue Forecast (US$ Thousands)
Figure 2. Converged Home Network
Figure 3. Home Network Router by Brand
Figure 4. Dropping Home Router ASPs - 2002-2008
Figure 5. Home Routers vs. Residential Gateways (Units in Thousands)
Figure 6. Evolution of the Broadband CPE
Figure 7. Roku HD1000
Figure 8. Media Server Hierarchy
Figure 9. Media Adapter 2003 Market Shares
Figure 10. Akimbo Broadband Set-Top Box
Figure 11. Prototype Media Center Extender
Figure 12. Media Center and Media Center Extender
Figure 13. Ways You Store Digital Photos, Music or Videos
Figure 14. D-Link DSM-602H Central Home Drive
Figure 15. Linksys Wireless-B Internet Camera
Figure 16. LAN Technology Comparison Matrix
Figure 17. 802.11 Variants Trending in 2003 (Units in Thousands)
Figure 18. Enhanced Reach and Throughput with MIMO
Figure 19. 802.11b Home Unit Market Shares for 2003
Figure 20. 802.11g Total 2003 Market Shares
Figure 21. HomePlug Connection Market Shares
Figure 22. HomePNA Connection Market Shares
Figure 23. Digital Home Working Group Framework
Figure 24. UPnP Protocol Stack
Figure 25. Home Networking Technologies: May 2002 vs. November 2003
Figure 26. Prospective Home Network Users: May 2002 vs. November 2003
Figure 27. Wireless LAN Technology: May 2002 vs. November 2003
Figure 28. Home Router Usage: May 2002 vs. November 2003
Figure 29. Home Networking Channels: May 2002 vs. November 2003
Figure 30. Daily Activities of Home Network
Figure 31. How Often Do You Use Your Home Network for On-Line Gaming?
Figure 32. How Often Do You Use Your Home Network for Sharing Music or Video?
Figure 33. Worldwide Home Networking Installed Base (In Thousands)
Figure 34. Worldwide Home Networks by Technology (In Thousands)
Figure 35. Total Home Network Device Forecast by Type (Units in Thousands)
Figure 36. Home Networking Device-Level Revenue Forecast (US$ in Thousands)
Figure 37. Home Networking LAN Interface Forecast (Units in Thousands)
Figure 38. Alternative Technologies Forecast (Units in Thousands)
Figure 39. Total Home Networks vs. Media Networks (Units in Thousands)

In-Stat/MDR (www.instat.com) is a leading provider of actionable market research, market assessments and market forecasts of semiconductor and advanced communications equipment and services. The firm's forecasts, analysis and insights are informed by both a deep technology understanding and a unique research methodology, which examines each segment of the value chain for each market. Technology vendors, service providers, technology professionals and market specialists, worldwide, rely on In-Stat/MDR's tenured, experienced staff and in-depth research to support critical technology, product and success decisions.