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Report Abstract, Table of Contents, List of Tables, List of Figures
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Into Thin Air: Residential Wireline Erosion from Wireless and Other Access Alternatives

Service: Residential Voice & Data
Report Number: IN0401377IA
Publication Date: June 2004
Number of Pages: 52
Report Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
Analyst: Amy Cravens

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Abstract
Wireless, or cellular, voice service has moved into the mainstream—and as familiarity with wireless grows, so does the concern among traditional wireline voice providers that they may be losing their customers to the wireless providers. In-Stat/MDR explores the potential for wireline to wireless conversion in this report, which is based on US consumer primary research. Results are segmented by region, income level, and age of respondent.

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary
  • Methodology
    • Forecasting Techniques
    • Structured Research Sources
  • Demographics
  • Age and Ethnicity
  • Income
  • Education and Profession
  • Residence
  • Age Matters: Life Stage vs. Behavior
    • Life Stage Distinctions
    • Behavioral Distinctions
  • General Phone Usage
    • Incidence of Usage
      • Incidence of Usage By Age of Respondent
    • Current Providers Used
    • Daily Phone Usage
      • Daily Time Spent on the Phone By Age of Respondent
    • Wireless, Wireline, Local, and Long Distance
      • Wireless, Wireline, Local, and Long Distance By Age of Respondent
    • Monthly Expenditures
      • Monthly Expenditures By Age of Respondent
  • Wireline Erosion
    • Decreased Usage of Wireline Local Phone Services
      • Decreased Usage of Wireline Local Phone Services By Age of Respondent
    • Decreased Usage of Wireline Long Distance Phone Services
      • Decreased Usage of Wireline Long Distance Phone Services By Age of Respondent
  • Wireline to Wireless Conversion
    • Current Provider Loyalty
      • Current Provider Loyalty By Age of Respondent
    • Plans to Switch Providers
      • Plans to Switch Providers By Age of Respondent
    • Plans to Cancel Home Phone
      • Plans to Cancel Home Phone By Age of Respondent
    • Factors Encouraging Wireline Erosion
    • Factors Inhibiting Wireline Erosion
  • Regional and Income-based Segmentation
    • Regional Segmentation: ILEC Regions
      • Summary
      • Daily Phone Usage
      • Wireline vs. Wireless Phone Usage - Percent of Daily Usage
      • Monthly Phone Expenditures by Type
      • Wireline Erosion
      • Wireline to Wireless Conversion
    • Segmentation by Income Level
      • Summary
      • Daily Phone Usage
      • Wireline v. Wireless Phone Usage - Percent of Daily Usage 4
      • Monthly Phone Expenditures by Type
      • Wireline Erosion
      • Wireline to Wireless Conversion
  • Behavioral Segmentation
    • "Wireless Converters"
    • "Best of Both - Non-converters"
    • "Tethered: Fixed to the Wireline"
  • Conclusion

List of Tables

  • Table 1. Voice Service Adoption: Local, Long Distance, and Wireless - Age Segmentation
  • Table 2. Top Service Providers for Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Service Based on Respondent Users of these Services (Respondent Base of Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Subscribers)
  • Table 3. Daily Time Spent on Home Phone- Age Segmentation
  • Table 4. Percent of Time Spent on Wireline/Wireless Phone - Age Segmentation
  • Table 5. Percent of Wireline/Wireless Calls that are Local/Long Distance - Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireline and Wireless Users)
  • Table 6. Average monthly expenditure on Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Service - Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Subscribers)
  • Table 7. Wireline Local Phone/Long Distance Usage Decreased in Past 12 Months Due to your Use of Cell Phone - Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users)
  • Table 8. Deterioration of Wireline Local Phone Usage-Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users with Decreased Wireline Local Phone Usage)
  • Table 9. Deterioration of Wireline Long Distance Phone Usage-Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users with Decreased Wireline Long Distance Usage)
  • Table 10. Loyalty to Current Local/Long Distance/Wireless Service Provider - Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Subscribers)
  • Table 11. Plans to Switch to a Different Local/Long Distance/Wireless Service Provider in the Next 12 Months - Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Subscribers)
  • Table 12. Plans to Cancel Home Phone and Use Only Cell Phone in the next 12 Months - Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users) 31
  • Table 13. Why Would You be Willing to Make Your Cell Phone Your Primary Phone? - Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users Willing to Cancel their Wireline Service)
  • Table 14. Why Wouldn't You be Willing Make Your Cell Phone Your Primary Phone? - Age Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users Not Willing to Cancel their Wireline Service)
  • Table 15. US States Grouped By RBOC Region
  • Table 16. On average, how much time do you spend on your home phone per day-Regional Segmentation
  • Table 17. When thinking about your use of your wireline/wireless phone, what percent of the minutes you use would you say are...-Regional Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireline and Wireless Users)
  • Table 18. Approximately, what is your average monthly expenditure on …--Regional Segmentation (Respondent Base of Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Subscribers)
  • Table 19. Has your wireline local phone usage decreased in the last 12 months due to your use of your cell phone-Regional Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users)
  • Table 20. Would you be willing to cancel your home phone and use your cell phone as your only phone in the next 12 months-Regional Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users)
  • Table 21. On average, how much time do you spend on your home phone per day-Income Segmentation
  • Table 22. When thinking about your use of your wireline/wireless phone, what percent of the minutes you use would you say are...- Income Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireline and Wireless Users)
  • Table 23. Approximately, what is your average monthly expenditure on …- Income Segmentation (Respondent Base of Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Subscribers)
  • Table 24. Has your wireline local phone usage decreased in the last 12 months due to your use of your cell phone - Income Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users)
  • Table 25. Would you be willing to cancel your home phone and use your cell phone as your only phone in the next 12 months-Income Segmentation (Respondent Base of Wireless Users Willing to Cancel their Wireline Service)
  • Table 26. Profile of High-Risk Converters. The 18 to 24 Age Group of Converters
  • Table 27. Profile of Low-Risk Converters. The 65 and Over Age Group of Non-converters

List of Figures

  • Figure 1. Voice Service Subscriptions (Total Respondent Base); Wireless Conversion (Wireless User Respondents)
  • Figure 2. Respondent Age and Ethnicity
  • Figure 3. Respondent Income Level
  • Figure 4. Respondent Education and Profession
  • Figure 5. Respondent Education and Profession-cont.
  • Figure 6. Respondent Residence
  • Figure 7. Voice Service Adoption: Local, Long Distance, and Wireless
  • Figure 8. Daily Time Spent on "Home" Phone
  • Figure 9. Percent of Time Spent on Wireline/Wireless Phone
  • Figure 10. Percent of Wireline/Wireless Calls that are Local/Long Distance (Respondent Base of Wireline and Wireless Users)
  • Figure 11. Average monthly expenditure on Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Service (Respondent Base of Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Subscribers)
  • Figure 12. Wireline Local Phone/Long Distance Usage Decreased in Past 12 Months Due to your Use of Cell Phone (Respondent Base of Wireless Users)
  • Figure 13. Deterioration of Wireline Local Phone Usage (Respondent Base of Wireless Users with Decreased Wireline Local Phone Usage)
  • Figure 14. Deterioration of Wireline Long Distance Phone Usage (Respondent Base of Wireless Users with Decreased Wireline Long Distance Phone Usage)
  • Figure 15. Loyalty to Current Local/Long Distance/Wireless Service Provider (Respondent Base of Local, Long Distance and Wireless Subscribers)
  • Figure 16. Plans to Switch to a Different Local/Long Distance/Wireless Service Provider in the Next 12 Months (Respondent Base of Local, Long Distance, and Wireless Subscribers)
  • Figure 17. Plans to Cancel Home Phone and Use Only Cell Phone in the next 12 Months (Respondent Base of Wireless Users)
  • Figure 18. Why Would You be Willing to Make Your Cell Phone Your Primary Phone? (Respondent Base of Wireless Users Willing to Cancel their Wireline Service)
  • Figure 19. Why Wouldn't You be Willing Make Your Cell Phone Your Primary Phone? (Respondent Base of Wireless Users Not Willing to Cancel their Wireline Service)

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In-Stat (www.in-stat.com) is the leading provider of actionable market research, assessments and market forecasts of semiconductors and advanced communications equipment and services. Our market forecasts, market analysis, and market insights are derived from both a deep technology understanding and a unique research methodology, which examines each segment of the value chain for each market. Technology vendors, service providers, technology professionals and market specialists, worldwide, rely on In-Stat’s tenured, experienced staff and in-depth research to support critical technology, product and success decisions. Copyright © 2005 In-Stat
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