Future Cell Phones: What to Expect, and When

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Report Abstract, Table of Contents, Tables, Figures

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Future Cell Phones: What to Expect, and When

Service: Mobile Devices & Components
Report Number: IN0401535WH
Publication Date: March 2004
Number of Pages: 41
Report Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
Analyst: Neil Strother

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Abstract
Cell phones will undergo major changes in the coming years, and this new report from In-Stat/MDR highlights many of the innovations. It also answers the questions of when they will arrive.

In this report, titled "Future Cell Phones: What to Expect, and When," you will find out what to expect from Wi-Fi on handsets, when fuel cells enter the picture and what location-based service is likely to thrive.

You will also get shipment forecasts for many new technologies. In addition, primary research from end-users shows what subscribers want in the future, things like:
-Finding friends or family
-Practical mapping services
-Better mobile e-mail solutions
-Easier hands-free capabilities

Plus, there's a glimpse into what is under discussion for fourth generation (4G) wireless technology. And a leading design expert offers his views on what is ahead for handsets.

If you're looking at cell phone innovations and have questions, this report has some clear answers.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary
About the Data
Methodologies For Data Collection
Introduction
End-Users Look to the Future
- Checking E-mail Tops List of Non-Voice Apps
- Once Again, E-Mail Gets High Marks
- Camera Phones Garner Sizeable Interest
- Wi-Fi Wins Mindshare
- Windows on a Cell Phone Stirs Some Interest
- No Thanks, for Over-the-Air
- Buying Into Bluetooth
- Paying for Future Wireless Services
- What Youth Want
  - Summarizing End-Users
Future Market Sizing
In the Labs
- Case Study: DMB (Digital Multimedia Broadcast)
Future Designs
4G
Service Provider Perspectives
Summary

List of Tables

Table 1. Worldwide cell phone shipment forecast, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 2. Worldwide handset revenue forecast, based on Average Manufacturer Revenue (AMR) (US$ in Thousands)
Table 3. Worldwide camera phone forecast by air link, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 4. Worldwide smartphone shipments, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 5. Worldwide Wi-Fi-enabled Cell Phone Forecast, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 6. Worldwide Camera Phone* Forecast, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 7. Worldwide OLED Display Forecast, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 8. Worldwide Rollable Displays on Cell Phones Forecast, 2005-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 9. Worldwide LBS (Mapping) Functionality on Cell Phones Forecast, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 10. Worldwide Voice-Activated Cell Phone Forecast, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 11. Worldwide Fuel Cell-enabled Cell Phone Forecast, 2005-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 12. Worldwide "World" Phone Forecast, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)
Table 13. Worldwide DMB-enabled Cell Phone Forecast, 2004-2009 (Units in Thousands)

List of Figures

Figure 1. Respondents have practical location services on their minds when thinking about what they want from future cell phones, and checking e-mail is close behind
Figure 2. Checking e-mail ranks highest for what people would like to do besides make voice calls
Figure 3. Checking and responding to e-mail topped the list of services respondents were most interested in using from a cell phone
Figure 4. A sizeable number of respondents liked the idea of a cell phone with an integrated camera, but nearly as many said it was unnecessary
Figure 5. Many respondents liked the idea of Wi-Fi access on a future cell phone, if the price were right
Figure 6. Four in 10 respondents were somewhat interested in having a Microsoft-based OS on a future cell phone
Figure 7. Most respondents said 'no' to the idea of buying and downloading small programs over the air
Figure 8. Respondents liked the idea of Bluetooth on a future cell phone, if priced right
Figure 9. Respondents would be willing to pay less than 25 cents on a per-use basis for new wireless services, an indication that end-users expect low prices
Figure 10. Younger respondents want better coverage and hands-free capabilities on their cell phones
Figure 11. World's thinnest flexible active-matrix display using Philips' ultra-thin back plane with organics-based thin film transistors, combined with E Ink's electronic ink front plane

In-Stat/MDR (www.instat.com) is a leading provider of actionable market research, market assessments and market forecasts of semiconductor and advanced communications equipment and services. The firm's forecasts, analysis and insights are informed by both a deep technology understanding and a unique research methodology, which examines each segment of the value chain for each market. Technology vendors, service providers, technology professionals and market specialists, worldwide, rely on In-Stat/MDR's tenured, experienced staff and in-depth research to support critical technology, product and success decisions.