Handset Component 5-Year Forecast - Everything But The Kitchen Sink

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Handset Component 5-Year Forecast - Everything But The Kitchen Sink

Service: Mobile Devices: Service Provider Strategies
Report Number: IN0401727WH
Publication Date: September 2004
Number of Pages: 61
Report Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
Analyst: Allen Nogee

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Abstract
The cellular handset has been going through a complete evolution in the last few years, keeping handset chipmakers on their toes while they attempt to forecast what will be the next big thing. When a technology does take the fancy of consumers and carriers, history shows us that the content of a handset can change quickly. For example, cameras in phones went from zero to over 150 million in just two years. Other technologies can, and will, move just as fast.

This handset component market report focuses on the trends that are quickly changing the handset makeup, and how these changes translate into component revenues. Estimates and five-year forecasts (units and revenues) are included for application processors, GPS, MPEG-4 encoders/decoders, Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, and camera image sensors. In addition, trends and forecasts for the main handset components are included, with coverage of RF/IF, Baseband (analog & digital), flash memory, SRAM, Codec/Audio, power management and semiconductor discretes. For each category, units, revenues and ASP's are included, as are break-outs for each air-interface technology. The air-interface breakouts for this report include CDMA2000 1X RTT, CDMA2000 1X EV-DO, TDMA, GSM, GPRS, EDGE, PDC, PHS, and W-CDMA (UMTS). Forecasts and historical data are included from 2003 to 2008.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary
Methodology
Cellular/PCS Technology Overview
- 1st Generation (1G) - Analog
- 2nd Generation (2G) - Digital
  - TDMA, GSM, Digital-AMPS, & PDC
  - Code-Division Multiple Access (CDMA)
- The Between Generation (2.5G)
  - General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
  - EDGE
  - CDMA2000 1X RTT
- The 3rd Generation (3G)
  - W-CDMA
  - CDMA2000 1X EV-DO (1X Evolution, Data-Optimized)
  - CDMA2000 1X EV-DV (1X Evolution, Data & Voice)
Handset Market Trends

Band/Mode Creep Continues
Color LCDs
CMOS RF
Memory & Storage
Security
Application Processor

Handset Semiconductor Forecasts
- Auxiliary Components
  - Application Processors
  - MPEG-4 Decoders/Encoders
  - Bluetooth
  - GPS Components
  - WLAN
- Main Semiconductor Components
  - CDMA2000 1X Semiconductor Forecast
  - CDMA2000 EV-DO Semiconductor Forecast
  - TDMA Semiconductor Forecast
  - GSM Semiconductor Forecast
  - GSM GPRS Semiconductor Forecast
  - GSM EDGE Semiconductor Forecast
  - PDC Semiconductor Forecast
  - PHS Semiconductor Forecast
  - W-CDMA Semiconductor Forecast
  - Total Handset Semiconductor Forecast
Conclusion And Final Words
Handset Component Company Profiles
- Analog Devices
- Broadcom
- Freescale
- Infineon
- Prairiecomm
- Qualcomm
- RF Micro Devices
- Siemens
- Skyworks
- Texas Instruments
Handset Definitions

List of Tables

Table 1. Handset Application Processors (Units in Thousands, ASP in $, Revenue in $M)
Table 2. Handset MPEG-4 Semiconductors (Units in Thousands, ASP in $, Revenue in $M)
Table 3. Handset Bluetooth Semiconductors (Units in Thousands, ASP in $, Revenue in $M)
Table 4. GPS Incremental Component Revenue (Units in Thousands, ASP in $, Revenue in $M)
Table 5. WLAN in Cellular Handsets (Units in Thousands, ASP in $, Revenue in $M)
Table 6. Handset Cameras (Units in Thousands, Revenues in US$ in Millions)
Table 7. CDMA2000 1X Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Table 8. CDMA2000 1X Handset Semiconductor ASP's (US$)
Table 9. CDMA2000 1X Semiconductor Chipset Units (Units in Thousands)
Table 10. CDMA2000 EV-DO Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Table 11. CDMA2000 EV-DO Handset Semiconductor ASP's (US$)
Table 12. CDMA2000 EV-DO Semiconductor Chipset Units (Units in Thousands)
Table 13. TDMA Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Table 14. TDMA Handset Semiconductor ASPs (US$)
Table 15. TDMA Handset Semiconductor Chipset Units (Units in Thousands)
Table 16. GSM Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Table 17. GSM Handset Semiconductor ASPs (US$)
Table 18. GSM Handset Semiconductor Units (Units in Thousands)
Table 19. GSM GPRS Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Table 20. GSM GPRS Handset Semiconductor ASPs (US$)
Table 21. GSM GPRS Handset Semiconductor Chipset Units (Units in Thousands)
Table 22. GSM EDGE Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Table 23. GSM EDGE Handset Semiconductor ASPs (US$)
Table 24. GSM EDGE Handset Semiconductor Chipset Units (Units in Thousands)
Table 25. PDC Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Table 26. PDC Handset Semiconductor ASPs (US$)
Table 27. PDC Handset Semiconductor Chipset Units (Units in Thousands)
Table 28. PHS Handset Semiconductor Revenue (US$ in Millions)
Table 29. PHS Handset Semiconductor ASPs (US$)
Table 30. PHS Handset Semiconductor Chipset Units (Units in Thousands)
Table 31. W-CDMA Handset Semiconductor Revenue (US$ in Millions)
Table 32. W-CDMA Handset Semiconductor ASPs (US$)
Table 33. W-CDMA Handset Semiconductor Chipset Units (Units in Thousands)
Table 34. Total Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Table 35. Total Handset Semiconductor Revenue by Function (US$ in Millions)
Table 36. Handset Chipsets by Standard (Units in Thousands)

List of Figures

Figure 1. CDMA2000 1X Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 2. CDMA2000 EV-DO Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 3. TDMA Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 4. GSM Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 5. GSM GPRS Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 6. GSM EDGE Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 7. PDC Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 8. PHS Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 9. W-CDMA Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 10. Total Handset Semiconductor Revenue Forecast (US$ in Millions)
Figure 11. Total Handset Semiconductor Revenue by Function (US$ in Millions)
Figure 12. Handset Chipsets By Standard (Units in Thousands)

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