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Future Cell Phones: The Big Trends, 2005-2010

Service: Mobile Devices
Report Number: IN0502105WH
Publication Date: March 2005
Number of Pages: 52
Report Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
Analyst: Neil Strother

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Abstract
Major changes are coming to future cell phones, and end-users will get to decide which trends they like, and don't like. A new In-Stat report has the early view of what these crucial end-users think about what's ahead.
 
 The report, titled "Future Cell Phones: The Big Trends, 2005-2010," also forecasts when the certain trends are likely to take off. You'll find out what to expect from Wi-Fi-enabled handsets, the latest on fuel cell rollouts, and the shipment picture for TV on wireless phones.
 
 In addition, primary research shows what end-users think about:
 - Location-based services
 - Phones that act as your wallet for mobile payments
 - Skype-enabled cell phones
 - Growing storage capacity
 
 Plus, there's a brief discussion about what manufacturers and carriers are doing as they prepare for 3.5G and 4G wireless services.
 
 This report is a must-have, if you need to stay on top of important cell phone trends.
Table of Contents
  • Executive Summary
  • About the Data
  • Methodology For Data Collection
  • Overview
  • End-Users on Future Phones
    • Motorola Leads Battle of the Brands
    • Spending Outlook: Modest
    • Lukewarm Interest in RFID
    • Input Methods
      • Weak Interest in Stylus Pens
      • Voice Activation Stirs Solid Interest
      • Touch Screens Strike a Chord
    • Input Summary
    • Wi-Fi on Handsets
      • Solid Interest in Wireless Fidelity
      • Wireless E-Mail Leads List of Desired Services
    • Thumbs Down for Broadcast TV
    • Tepid Interest in Greater Storage
    • Respondents Cool to Satellite Radio
    • Megapixel Cameras Generate Moderate Interest
    • Summary: Storage, Sat Radio, Cameras, TV
    • Fuel Cell Concept Grabs Attention
    • Foldable Display Garners So-So Interest
    • High Negatives for “Wallet” Phone
    • Mixed Responses to Location Based Services
      • Mapping Service a Solid Bet
      • Solid Interest in Locating Businesses
      • Modest Interest in Finding Friends or Family
      • Wanted: Alternate Traffic Routes
    • Summary: Location Based Services (LBS)
    • Keen Interest in Skype-Enabled Phone
    • Future Phone Opinions By Service Provider
      • Wi-Fi by Service Provider
      • Broadcast TV by Service Provider
      • Fuel Cell by Service Provider
      • “Wallet” by Service Provider
      • LBS by Service Provider
      • Skype-enabled by Service Provider
  • Demographics
    • Occupation
    • Age
    • Income
      • Summarizing End-Users
  • Future Market Sizing
  • In the Labs, or Early Stage
  • 3.5G and 4G
  • Summary

List of Tables

  • Table 1. Worldwide handset shipment forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 2. Worldwide Handset Revenue Forecast, based on Average Manufacturer Revenue (AMR) (US$ in Thousands)
  • Table 3. Worldwide Voice-Activated Cell Phone Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 4. Worldwide Wi-Fi-enabled Cell Phone Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 5. Worldwide TV-enabled Cell Phone Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 6. Worldwide MP3-playing (and other music file formats) Cell Phone Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 7. Worldwide Mass-Storage Cell Phone Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 8. Worldwide Camera Phone* Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 9. Worldwide Fuel Cell–enabled Cell Phone Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 10. Worldwide Rollable Displays on Cell Phones Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 11. Worldwide “Wallet” Cell Phone Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 12. Worldwide LBS (Mapping) Functionality on Cell Phones Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)
  • Table 13. Worldwide Skype-enabled Cell Phone Forecast, 2005-2010 (Units in Thousands)

List of Figures

  • Figure 1. Respondents with Motorola handsets had the greatest interest in buying a phone with built-in Wi-Fi capabilities
  • Figure 2. Motorola is the leading brand under consideration by respondents for their next mobile phone
  • Figure 3. The largest group of respondents intends to spend between $50 and $100 on their next wireless phone
  • Figure 4. Nearly half (47.1%) of respondents were “not very” or “not at all” interested in RFID on their next wireless phone
  • Figure 5. Enhanced stylus pens generated mild interest with 17.9% very or extremely interested in this type of input method
  • Figure 6. More than 40% of respondents were either very or extremely interested in voice activation on their wireless phones
  • Figure 7. More than a third (35.9%) of respondents were either very or extremely interested in a touch screen for their wireless phones
  • Figure 8. Voice activation was the clear leader among text-input alternatives, according to respondents
  • Figure 9. More than 40% of respondents were either very or extremely interested in buying a wireless phone with built-in Wi-Fi
  • Figure 10. The leading service was e-mail among respondents interested in Wi-Fi-enabled wireless phones
  • Figure 11. Just 12% of respondents were very or extremely interested in buying a wireless phone capable of receiving broadcast TV
  • Figure 12. Just three in 10 respondents said they were very or extremely interested in a wireless phone that had 1-gigabyte or more of built-in storage
  • Figure 13. Just one in five respondents said they would be very or extremely interested in buying a mobile phone with satellite radio functionality
  • Figure 14. Some 23% of respondents said they would be very or extremely interested in buying a camera phone with a resolution level of two or more megapixels
  • Figure 15. Greater storage capacity was the highest-ranking technology in this group, according to respondents
  • Figure 16. Nearly half of the respondents (47.6%) said they were very or extremely interested in a fuel cell for powering a depleted wireless phone
  • Figure 17. More than a third of respondents were favorably impressed with the concept of a foldable display for their wireless phones
  • Figure 18. Slightly more than half of the respondents said they were either not very or not at all interested in a wireless phone that could be used as a wallet for purchases
  • Figure 19. More than half of the respondents were very or extremely interested in a mapping service for their wireless phone
  • Figure 20. Almost 40% of respondents were either very or extremely interested in a location-based service that could locate businesses
  • Figure 21. Almost a third of respondents said they were very or extremely interested in a service that could find friends or family members
  • Figure 22. More than half of the respondents were either very or extremely interested in a location service that would help find alternate traffic routing
  • Figure 23. Mapping was the leading location service respondents would want on their wireless phones
  • Figure 24. More than 40% of respondents were very or extremely interested in a Skype-enabled wireless phone
  • Figure 25. Respondents gave the nod to T-Mobile when asked about buying a wireless phone with built-in Wi-Fi technology
  • Figure 26. Sprint PCS respondents showed the greatest interest in buying a wireless phone capable of receiving broadcast TV
  • Figure 27. T-Mobile respondents had the greatest interest in the concept of a fuel cell for powering a depleted phone
  • Figure 28. T-Mobile respondents showed the greatest interest in a wireless phone that can act as a wallet
  • Figure 29. Nextel respondents showed the strongest interest in location-based services
  • Figure 30. Nextel respondents had the highest interest in a Skype-enable wireless phone
  • Figure 31. More than a third of the respondents were in the executive or managerial segment of the job market
  • Figure 32. More than 60% of the respondents was 45 and above
  • Figure 33. The largest group of respondents had an annual pre-tax income between $75,000 and $100,000

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In-Stat (www.in-stat.com) is the leading provider of actionable market research, assessments and market forecasts of semiconductors and advanced communications equipment and services. Our market forecasts, market analysis, and market insights are derived from both a deep technology understanding and a unique research methodology, which examines each segment of the value chain for each market. Technology vendors, service providers, technology professionals and market specialists, worldwide, rely on In-Stat’s tenured, experienced staff and in-depth research to support critical technology, product and success decisions. Copyright © 2005 In-Stat
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